What makes capital gains so special? A capital gain occurs
when an amount received when selling an asset is greater than the amount paid
for it. Sale of stock is the most common capital gain, however it includes
almost any investment including bonds, real estate, equipment, and works of art
but usually do not include personal use items. For tax purposes capital gains
have been distinguished from ordinary income since 1913 though the rate at
which they are taxed has changed several times since then. The drop to current
level of capital gains tax of 15% was achieved through Bush II era legislation
and represents the lowest it has ever been in US history. Though I don’t recall
the Occupy movement ever claiming it
as a specific gripe it well should have, and in 2011 Warren Buffett, one of America’s
wealthiest (and most successful) investors, added to wealth disparity
discussion when he claimed that the favorable treatment he receives on his
earnings is unfair
A Rich Man’s Game
With a base in long-term investments capital gains
disproportionately affect the rich, and luckily this is not a significantly
disputed fact. However, it is my belief that this favorable treatment is
unethical and detrimental to the collective welfare of our nation, which will
be disputed by some. I propose that capital
gains should be taxed just like regular income because after I disprove all the
reasons the rich say it is necessary, all that’s left is an unfair mechanism
which systematically helps rich to get richer.
The proponents of capital gains getting taxed lower than ordinary income rates usually do so under the guise that it sparks investment which sounds like it could be accurate. Lower taxes on an activity increases the propensity to do it, but it’s actually an argument based only on speculation. When you apply the policy to the behavior options of the investor the capital gains tax makes no difference in the level of investment.
The rich have only the same options that anyone else does
with their money: spend it, save it, invest it, and I guess, light it on fire.
Assuming these are rich people we’re talking about who already have all the
worldly goods they want and can reasonably consume, I think we can rule out the
possibility that they will decide to spend more money consuming things or that
they decide to burn it out of protest for the new tax rates. So we’re left with
the options save it or invest it. I often view those two things as the same thing
with just different levels of risk, but the question is, if the capital gains
tax rates increase is it likely that rich people are going to stop investing?
And the answer is the same in this case as all savvy capitalists’ financial
decisions, they will do what produces a greater rate of return. And as long as
the economy is not in contraction investing will be a more lucrative option
than saving and they will continue to invest.
Knowing that they are going to invest no matter what means
that lowering the tax rate on the rich’s return on wealth only changes how much
more of the total share is theirs and how much goes toward public services. It
does not make investment more lucrative and create more money. It does not
change the employment rate, it does not change the amount of economic growth or
the amount of investment and savings, and nearly everyone who has studied the
correlation between these numbers agrees (I’ll cite: Burman (2012), Hungerford
(2010), and Guidolin and La Jeunesse (2007).
It’s All the Same
Income
To distinguish investment income and wages might be a
headscratcher to those who invest their own money for a living, though, except
for Buffett, it’s unlikely they’ll ever mention it so as to sustain the
benefits it provides. Either way, investment is their daily profession and the
returns they generate are their salary. This should entitle and require them alike
to equal treatment when it comes to the rate at which their ‘salary’ is taxed.
I don’t view it as particularly noble to be an investor mostly because the only
requirement to do it is already having money. It also happens to be the natural
and selfish thing (well, second to excessive consumption I suppose) to do with
personal wealth. Instead for some reason it is portrayed as a public service
and investors are offered a huge tax break on the returns. If anything, the
idea that they are not actually directly contributing to the GDP by producing
any goods or services should make this a less desirable occupation. As opposed
to capitalistic saints, perhaps it is more accurate to view rich investors as
freeloaders taking advantage of the powerful stability of US economic system
built in part by the consistent hard work of the lower classes, which creates a
less risky environment to invest.
The nature of investment very closely resembles that of
money lending in that cash is paid for assets which will be more valuable in
the future. In investment it is due to appreciation, whereas money lenders call
it interest, but the concepts of risks and reward and the time value of money
which guide each sector are the same. Like
interest earned in money lending, capital gains should therefore be taxed as
regular income.
Common False Support
The national budgetary implication of capital gains
treatment is that the tax liability on income for rich investors when they sell
some of their assets is roughly halved. That means reversing this policy and
taxes at normal income rates will effectively double the tax revenue providing serious
relief to national budget woes. “Not true!” the dissenters cry. Ok, yes, the
data shows that in years just after a cut in capital gain tax rates occurs, the
total revenue from capital gains tax increases despite the lower rate. It also
shows that in the last 50 years as the capital gains tax rates have moved
progressively lower there has been more revenue overall. I believe these two
statistics are accurate but can be easily explained without supporting the
notion that a lower capital gains rate is good fiscal policy.
First, the gross level of investment has been increasing
dramatically over the last half century so an increase in raw capital gains
revenues when these investments are sold would be expected irrespective of even
large changes in the tax rates. What proves this best is that in periods when
the rate stayed the same for period of time, the revenues increased. If tax
rates were increased to the levels of ordinary income, as I propose, the first
year or two might see a decrease in net capital gains revenue as some investors
might hold off on selling hoping that the policy will get reversed, but
eventually these gains will have to be realized and the increased revenue will
be there when that occurs.
Second, the increases in total revenue collected from
capital gains tax immediately following a decrease represents investors taking
advantage of the new low rates. But this doesn’t indicate there is more investment,
that anything is better off, or that this effect will last longer than two
years. Since capital gains are only incurred when the assets are sold, this
merely indicates that investors took advantage to get out of their investments
and realize the gains while tax rates were favorable. Think of investments as a
pool of water with a gate holding it in. As investment increase the water level
over time gets higher. But when you open the gate a whole bunch will spill out.
But just because a lot of water came out when you opened the gate doesn’t prove
there is more water nor does it increase the amount of water. This flurry of
transactions following capital gains tax rate decreases represents sales of
investments, which if anything means that money is flowing out of the nation’s total
investments. After a couple of years most of the spike effects are no longer
seen and revenue levels return to where one would expect if the tax rate hadn’t
changed. All up, revenue from capital gains tax is a terrible metric of
investment taking place. A much better metric is gross domestic private
investment for which the data was analyzed against the capital gains rate here,
and funny enough the analyzed data refutes the claim that decreased capital
gains taxes spurs investment.
Other Invalid
Concerns
Some have expressed concern that an increase in capital
gains tax could insight a market crash with so many people pulling out just
before the increases will take effect. Right now the market has been doing
well, so you don’t want to discourage investment. Sure, but this can easily be prevented
by increasing the percentage over a period of say five years. A 3% yearly
increase would not cause a panic to pull out of the market. And since capital
gains applies to all investments, where exactly would the money be going
instead?
The real threat is that US investors will head overseas
looking for more favorable tax rates on their returns. No wait, sorry I got
that wrong. Even if US investors channel their money to foreign investments in
foreign markets where there is a lower capital gains tax rate, they are still
subject to US capital gain tax rates on the income unless they are actually
living abroad. So there would be no incentive to invest overseas as some have
claimed. I also doubt we’ll see a mass exodus of rich people if we increase our
capital gain rates, and I think we might be better off if there was.
Class Warfare
It’s pretty amazing that this idea actually stuck around
enough to comment on, but many still claim that raising tax rates for the rich
is class warfare, though the same is not said about cuts to social security or
other welfare programs. Here’s the thing. It is class warfare, if we must use
that term, to decide that the rich alone should be entrusted with job creation.
Aside from the fact that they should be the least likely trusted to such a
responsibility since they don’t personally have to worry about employment
themselves and won’t necessarily care whether jobs are actually created, there
is still the point that you can give huge amounts of money to poor people, or
anyone, and they will invest and spend just the same which will create jobs. The
current system of comparatively lower capital gains tax rates is a gift, and
it’s a gift to the wealthiest class. To try to correct that so most well-off
group isn’t receiving gifts is not warfare, It’s an ethical attempt to fix the
current class warfare on the poor already underway.
Another way capital gains assists the rich is through the benefits
which can be leveraged by a more complicated tax code. Many who are unfamiliar
with taxation would be lost by the first or second paragraph of this article,
but those who are educated and understand the system thrive in it and can do
comparatively better than others. A tax code which features varying rates,
varying breaks and detailed rules and circumstances generally favors the rich
because it creates opportunities to fit through the loop holes. Here is just one
example of countless from the corporate world of those with wealth taking advantage of the tax rules by finding a way to set up
operations to legally skirt around tax obligations.
While the opportunities are technically available to everyone, the ones who are
more able to take advantage are the rich who have both financial flexibility
and the ability to hire crafty knowledgeable accountants. Having a simpler more uniform tax code including taxing capital gains like ordinary income could prevent many of these situations. Everyone has to play by the rules the tax code sets up, so wouldn't it be a better thing to make those rules more difficult to get around by making them simple and uniform?
Knowing the structure of the investment world and the false arguments that have been posed in support of these views, it's not too difficult to work out that this capital gains tax policy is really just a way for the rich to avoid paying taxes. It allows the income that primarily only the rich receive to be treated more leniently. How many blue collar working-class families heavily discuss their investment portfolio? Maybe some, but not in the dollar amounts to make it a comparable conversation. This is a mechanism for favorable tax treatment for the rich. It is nothing more than that. So the legislature should immediately take action to remove this unfair policy and restore the rate at which capital gains are taxed to the same level as ordinary income incrementally over the next five year. Make taxation rules fair, make it the same for everyone, make income from capital gains taxable at the same rate as any other income.
Not to argue from authority, but pretty much any economist will tell you that we should abolish the capital gains tax. They'd also tell you we should abolish the income tax and switch to a progressive consumption tax, but that's another story.
ReplyDeleteNo one can disagree that lower taxes on capital gains helps the rich pay less taxes as a percentage of their total income. And you made a decent argument that raising capital gains tax is unlikely to change behavior, at least to some extent, because it is still the best ROI. Unfortunately, you failed to address whether this is actually good macroeconomic policy or not. The personal saving rate in the US is worryingly low (google it for lots of data).
The overall tax burden across income levels in the US is about 30%, pretty flat actually. You're saying it's not "fair" that richer folks get more tax breaks, but someone could easily say it's not fair that they have to give up a bigger slice of their pie than anyone else.
Taxing capital gains at the same rate as standard income doesn't go far enough and has other side effects that you didn't mention. For example, the elderly receive more of their income from capital gains. Raising the tax on them will likely cause them quite a bit of pain (they also tend to be richer because they've been working for a lifetime).
I agree that we need a more uniform and simpler tax code. Abolish the income tax, capital gains tax, and corporate tax. Just tax consumption and make it as progressive as necessary to maintain revenue without raising the overall tax burden on the poor and middle class. Phase it in over 5-10 years where necessary. Then we can actually see what's going on and have honest debate about what taxation levels should be.
I did a bit more research, and I want to clarify and say that I agree with you. All else being equal, it's a good idea to not differentiate capital gains income from any other source of income.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2012/01/mitt-romneys-taxes
http://www.economist.com/blogs/democracyinamerica/2012/07/taxes-and-rich-0
I completely agree. To tax income from capital at a lower rate than income from work is wrong on the most basic moral level.
ReplyDeleteSide note/Question - while abolishing taxes on investments and labour in favour of a tax on consumption sounds much more fair, wouldn't this create an incentive for problematic levels of protectionism? And then what exactly would be taxed? (by which I mean to imply that it is easy to say the sort of things you find in the current market baskets to calculate consumption price indexes are consumed, but much less evident when speaking of things that are not "consumed" in the classic sense of the word)
(Can't say I've done any research into it and haven't had my coffee yet, so there is a real possibility I'm missing something.)
I don't think it would lead to protectionism if it was implemented as Income - Savings = Consumption, with savings defined as it already is today.
ReplyDeleteCheck out this article that explains how a consumption tax would be implemented at a high level and links to one with a bit more detail:
http://www.policymic.com/articles/3352/a-better-tax-system-the-progressive-consumption-tax
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/07/business/07view.html?_r=0