Saturday, November 3, 2018

Why You Should Vote, Even if You Don't Believe in the System

Perhaps this is too little, too late with US 2018 mid-term elections less than a week away. Many people aren't registered to vote and that window is now closed. Except it isn't!!! Fifteen states, including my home state of California, offer some form of voter registration on election day (check here to see if you qualify). For those of you already registered you still have a couple of days to decide to vote or not.

There are reasons to not vote, sure. The system is controlled by a bunch of rich old white men, none of whom represent you or your ideas (it's completely possible that most of my readers are in fact rich old white men. I don't actually have demographic data to disprove this). The whole system is corrupted by money. There are only two viable political parties, evil and slightly little less evil. One vote doesn't matter. This definitely doesn't look like the representative democracy praised in history text books. You participation in a broken system makes you complicit in its existence. I get all those reasons. Well, maybe I don't get them, but I've at least heard them, and I think they're half-baked.

Did you?
But if these factors make you ponder, “OK, I could vote, but really, why should I?” then, lovely reader, do I have the perfect article in store for you. My reasons to vote, presented here and now, ad free, in the only format acceptable for conveying more than one piece of information on the internet, a list! Or a slideshow of one slide if you prefer to think about it that way.


#1 Your Vote Does Make A Difference - Contrary to the opinions expressed by some of the more hopeless and disenchanted folks, your vote counts. During presidential general elections voter turnout amongst eligible voters has historically been around 60%. In mid-terms, like the one we have coming up in a couple of days on November 6th, it's around 40% (in 2014 it was 36.7%!). That means, to have a majority voice in electing representatives for a mid-term election you only need about 20.4% (40% * 51%) of the total population. That means the voice of that small 20% group is about five times louder than expected as its preference on a candidate or issue will go on to represent 100% of the people. That sounds like amplification of a minority voice to me.

But more importantly, election results, even in the case that your candidate loses will have an effect on who runs and how much money will be invested into the next election. If your candidate loses by 5% instead of the expected 15%, there is a decent chance that the next election will look different. A victor might realize they need to do more to appease the increasing group of voters turning against them and could potentially adjust their positions. Election results could inspire new, more agreeable candidates to run if it looks like your issues are gaining momentum.

#2. Voting Does Lead to Representation – If there's anything politicians are good at, it's pandering. Unfortunately, they usually pander to money because money consistently shows up to every election. But if groups who typically don't vote at a high rate (I'm looking at you young people) actually started voting, politicians would have to start pandering to them because their vote will help decide if they keep their job. But until these groups start voting more, politicians will continue to ignore them.

So who do you vote for if you look at all the candidates and none of them look like you, talk like you, or appear to have your interests in mind. It is a bit of a 'what came first, the chicken or the egg?' scenario between feeling unrepresented in government and not voting. If you don't vote, you won't be represented. If you aren't represented you won't vote. See? So why not break the cycle and vote?

But who to vote for? Well, you could do more research by going through their platforms, rhetoric, and campaign contributors to see if there are any other ways you can relate. But if there's still nobody in the race for you, then vote for change by voting against the incumbent in each race, where one exists. That will bring new representatives into office. Even if you believe those new people are part of the same system and will not bring substantive change, they are still someone different and an increase in politician turnover would signify to the system change is being demanded. Newly elected representatives are more likely to make change so they can differentiate themselves from previous officeholders. Generally, this strategy indicates to politicians that the status quo is unacceptable and they will be voted out if they don't create positive change. This is a powerful message we want in our representatives' heads.

#3. The People Voting Are the Ones Who Are Winning – I took a quick look at some voter turnout by demographic data (on electproject.org) and here's what it told me: If it seems like old rich white people are winning everything, and running everything, maybe it's because old rich white people are voting the most. I know obviously that's not the only reason, but I think it is a factor. The only elections in the last 30 years where the oldest, most educated, and white demographics were not the highest in turnout percentage in their respective groups were the 2008 and 2012 elections where blacks voted at a greater percentage than whites (oldest and most educated were still the highest in their groups). Those two elections also happened to feature a black man running for president. But that black man also won both of those elections.

If news stories about voter suppression of minority groups are becoming regular, it's probably because people in power are afraid of what will happen if they do vote. So if underrepresented groups want to change the story about power dynamics in this country, they should be doing their absolute damnedest to do the thing that the people in power are afraid of: vote.

#4. Voting honors the work of those who fought so hard to give everyone that right – Unless you are a land-owning white man (a minority of the population both then and now) you did not originally have the ability to vote when the first US elections were held. The fight to extend suffrage to everyone else has been long and trying and after 242 years is still very much a work in progress. There are still major problems with felony disenfranchisement, voting rights in US territories, voter ID requirements, and simple access to polling locations for many groups, but particularly those in poorer areas and those with disabilities, just to name a few of the existing problems. This country was not perfect when it started and it is not perfect now, but many have dedicated their lives, and many have lost their lives so that voting rights could be extended to more people that comprise this nation. If you have the right to vote in this upcoming election, odds are you wouldn't have in the 18th century. I believe that not exercising that right, or at a minimum not appreciating it, does a disservice to Booker T Washington, Martin Luther King, Susan B. Anthony, and so many others.

Fun and related fact, did you know that the term 'Grandfather Clause” or having something “grandfathered in” which describes allowing an old rule to continue to apply while a new rule applies to everything else, has it's origins in the Jim Crow era South. As leadership in the post-Civil War (Reconstruction Era) period came up with ways to prevent freed slaves and other African Americans from voting by creating obstacles like poll taxes, literacy requirements, and other Jim Crow garbage, they realized they would also prevent poor uneducated white people from voting. So they came up with a rule that if your grandfather was registered to vote before 1866, then you could also vote regardless of these new requirements. Of course since most African Americans' grandfathers were slaves with no voting right this obviously would only benefit white people. That is some top grade racist bullshit right there.

#5. The lesser of two evils is definitely better – I know there are reasons that candidate A sucks, but if candidate B is threatening to burn the whole country to the ground, A is a better choice. While elected representatives would, in an ideal world, be the leaders of positive change and the most upstanding citizens in all the land, it turns out quite frequently that they're just wealthy egomaniacs. They can often be some of the last people to get on board with a good idea and often only make decisions when they're forced to. The reason for pointing this out is that progress doesn't come from the top only, or even most of the time. It can come from anyone. So while it looks like the country's leadership is at times incapable of doing anything right, there are millions of people everyday making things better. Scientists, doctors, teachers, parents, military personnel, volunteers, and general good citizens are making people's lives better and making the country better all the time. So sometimes we don't necessarily need the best person elected to office, we just need someone that won't burn the place to the ground while everyone else can work on making it better.

#6. You Never Know - Election results don't always go according to polls. You don't have to look any further than Donald Trump's 2016 victory, where he was a massive underdog. He still didn't receive a majority of the vote, but he did win the election. Maybe you want to prevent a similar event happening, or maybe you want more like it occurring, both require voting. Despite polling data's decent ability to predict election results it is still an imperfect process and we don't know how elections will play out until every thing is counted.

If you believe that the results are already predetermined to the extent that there is no point in actually voting, you can take that same logic and tell me the US Men's Hockey team should have never skated against the USSR at the 1980 Winter Olympics in Lake Placid and produced the 'Miracle on Ice' which probably turned the tides in the cold war (probably) and shaped the geopolitical world we know today. They should have just gone home and let the Soviets win. The lesson: if you want to have a chance at winning, you have to participate.

#7. Because “I Refuse to Vote Because I Don't Wish to Perpetuate the Current System” Is a Bullshit Excuse - I understand the sentiment my rebellious friends, but I don't understand the strategy. Voting does not validate the system and it does not give the system power. The system already has power, it controls the military, the police, the judicial system, the federal reserve, and the Internal Revenue Service, regardless of voter turnout. Refusing to vote in no way changes this. Not voting confirms for the people in power that they have successfully destroyed the soul of resistance and accountability, that most citizens are either apathetic or oblivious about their relationship to their government, and that they should continue with their destructive ways because they won't be seriously challenged on it.

If you're not going to vote for your causes, what then is the actual plan to make anything better? Even if you think elections are rigged or are at least highly unequal and unrepresentative of minority views I think it is still much easier to try to fix things within the system than burn the whole thing to the ground and start again. Sure, maybe you think that votes should be counted on a ranked choice system (preaching to choir, mate, I've been onthat bandwagon since 2011!), but practically, how is that best achieved? Do you think the current representatives are going to change this on their own? Of course not. It needs to be demanded by the people. But those people need to vote on that issues to make their demands heard. Do you think not voting is going to help anything? Take responsibility. Take action.

Final Summary
I would describe the system of government in the US as deeply flawed, but I wouldn't call it broken. There are many things about it that are working. It's something I was reminded of just yesterday when a police officer in Mexico pulled me over and tried to get me to pay a bribe, at least that doesn't happen to me in the States. We do need to have some patience with it though. Progress is slow and every election result is not going to go how you wish. It's going to happen slowly over time, but it's not a reason to be discouraged.

One thing that will speed it up is full participation in civic processes. I believe that more people participating in the process can only make it stronger. Feel free to protest vote. Write-in your own name in for every office on the ballot paper if you want to show that people don't support the current government. But simple apathy gets you the unsatisfactory government you have today. So vote, dammit!

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